Montehermoso vs Moraleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CDC
2 - 1
MON
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
SRE
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ADC
2 - 1
MON
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MON
1 - 4
CPC
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
AMA
1 - 2
MON
21%
25%
54%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
4 - 0
GIM
46%
23%
32%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACD
1 - 0
MOR
30%
23%
46%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 1
MAL
25%
25%
50%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
OLY
1 - 0
MOR
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 0
CAM
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |