Montehermoso vs Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
61.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
TAL
11%
18%
71%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ADC
4 - 1
MON
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MON
0 - 2
CHI
72%
17%
11%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CDC
1 - 2
MON
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MON
1 - 2
LAS
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
MAL
60%
23%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MAL
3 - 2
TAL
31%
25%
45%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TRU
0 - 2
MAL
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MAL
3 - 1
ADC
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 2
MAL
23%
26%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |