Montegiorgio vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
SEL
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
MON
65%
19%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
GIU
2 - 1
MON
28%
24%
49%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
SFF
48%
24%
29%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 2
MON
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
ASD
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 1
ASD
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
APR
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |