Montecchio Maggiore vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
56.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
8º
18º
13º
43
8º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 33 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
85% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecchio Maggiore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MON
3 - 2
CAM
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CLO
3 - 2
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
LEV
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MES
1 - 1
ADB
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MES
2 - 0
VIR
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
MES
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MES
0 - 1
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 2
MES
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |