Montecasillas Fc vs CDU Malacitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
63.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecasillas Fc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MON
4 - 2
ALC
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIU
1 - 2
MON
72%
17%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
ADM
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 3
MON
34%
24%
43%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CDU Malacitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 0
CIU
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ADM
0 - 3
LAU
10%
18%
73%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LAU
2 - 1
UDL
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MUL
1 - 2
LAU
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |