Montecarlo vs Valdefierro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CFV
0 - 1
UDM
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UDM
3 - 2
MAG
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UDS
1 - 1
UDM
57%
21%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UDM
2 - 2
GAN
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAA
0 - 2
UDM
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valdefierro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CFV
4 - 1
REM
68%
18%
15%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UDC
1 - 3
CFV
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CFV
1 - 1
MOR
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CFV
0 - 1
CFV
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CFV
1 - 1
MAG
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |