Montecarlo vs Gurrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CFJ
1 - 0
UDM
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
UDM
2 - 1
ZUE
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UDM
1 - 1
BAN
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CFV
1 - 1
UDM
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UDM
4 - 1
CDA
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gurrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GUR
4 - 2
CFV
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 1
GUR
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GUR
1 - 1
ADT
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SAD
2 - 2
GUR
71%
16%
12%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GUR
2 - 1
ALC
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |