Montecarlo vs Fuentes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
65.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CDM
3 - 2
UDM
50%
23%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
UDM
1 - 2
QUI
31%
25%
44%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
EPI
3 - 1
UDM
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
UDM
1 - 0
ALC
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CDC
4 - 3
UDM
65%
19%
17%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FUE
3 - 1
AND
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ACF
0 - 1
FUE
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FUE
2 - 0
ALF
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LAA
1 - 2
FUE
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FUE
0 - 0
CDU
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |