Montecarlo vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BUJ
1 - 1
UDM
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UDM
0 - 2
CFV
30%
25%
44%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 1
UDM
68%
19%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UDM
4 - 0
SFE
45%
24%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
QUI
0 - 0
UDM
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 2
CAS
22%
24%
55%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CDC
1 - 0
CEL
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 0
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HER
0 - 2
CEL
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BUJ
2 - 1
CEL
32%
25%
44%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |