Montecarlo vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 1
UDM
48%
23%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UDM
0 - 1
CFV
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CFV
0 - 1
UDM
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UDM
3 - 2
MAG
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UDS
1 - 1
UDM
57%
21%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UDC
5 - 0
REM
50%
23%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 2
UDC
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UDC
1 - 3
CFV
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CFV
1 - 1
UDC
36%
25%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UDC
4 - 0
MAG
55%
23%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |