Montecarlo vs Barbastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GIN
0 - 1
UDM
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 0
VIL
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GAL
1 - 1
UDM
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 1
MAL
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 2
MAG
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barbastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CFV
44%
26%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BIE
0 - 0
BAR
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
PEN
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
BAR
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
UDC
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |