Montecarlo vs Alcañiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
49.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ATC
1 - 2
UDM
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UDM
3 - 1
CDU
30%
24%
47%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
UDM
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FUE
1 - 1
UDM
60%
22%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
UDM
4 - 2
CDM
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alcañiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ACF
2 - 1
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CDC
0 - 1
ACF
44%
23%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ACF
4 - 0
MOR
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ACF
2 - 1
CEL
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BUJ
0 - 0
ACF
9%
16%
75%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |