Montebelluna vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CNO
3 - 1
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
TAM
41%
26%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
AVI
2 - 1
MON
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
UAR
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
MON
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TRI
3 - 4
MES
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ABA
1 - 0
TRI
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 1
BEL
46%
26%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VIG
0 - 0
TRI
20%
20%
60%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
TAM
0 - 2
TRI
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |