Montebelluna vs Arzignano Valchiampo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
SGS
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MON
2 - 1
UNI
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ACE
1 - 0
MON
57%
23%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 4
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
DEL
1 - 0
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arzignano Valchiampo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
UAR
2 - 2
CHI
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MES
1 - 0
UAR
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SGS
0 - 1
UAR
21%
20%
59%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
UAR
2 - 0
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 2
UAR
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |