Montebelluna vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
49.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ABA
0 - 0
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 2
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
ECL
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
FON
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DCA
1 - 2
MON
65%
21%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MES
2 - 1
VIR
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MES
2 - 2
UAR
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MES
0 - 1
CAM
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 1
MES
28%
22%
49%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MES
2 - 1
LIV
78%
13%
8%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |