Monte Trigo vs Lagoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Trigo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
7 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
MOU
20%
23%
58%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 6
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
20 | 57 | 37 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 3
SES
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 2
FCC
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 1
LAG
72%
16%
11%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 2
LUS
14%
21%
65%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SES
1 - 1
LAG
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 1
VAS
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |