Monte Caparica vs Sesimbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 3
MCA
38%
24%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MCA
2 - 1
OMO
66%
19%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CIN
2 - 1
MCA
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
MCA
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 1
FCB
11%
18%
72%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Sesimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SES
1 - 0
OGR
38%
24%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 0
SES
21%
22%
56%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SES
1 - 2
CHC
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SES
0 - 4
AMO
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 0
SES
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |