Monte Azul vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
MON
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
MON
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
CAP
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
COM
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 1
CAP
43%
25%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
POR
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |