Monte Azul vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
SER
58%
22%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
AME
2 - 0
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
UNI
46%
23%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 0
FER
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FER
2 - 3
COM
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
FER
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |