Montceau vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
SAI
3 - 1
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
SAI
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ANN
3 - 0
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
OLY
23%
22%
54%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 1
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SPI
2 - 1
BLA
79%
14%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SPI
2 - 2
AND
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SPI
0 - 0
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SPI
6 - 2
CSM
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAI
2 - 1
SPI
15%
22%
64%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |