Monopoli vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
JUS
1 - 1
MON
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
BAR
13%
21%
67%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 3
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 2
MON
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SIR
0 - 0
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
USF
3 - 0
SIR
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 0
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 1
SIR
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 0
CAT
28%
29%
44%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |