Monção vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
66.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
14º
12º
50
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
MON
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 4
TIR
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PEV
1 - 0
MON
61%
20%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VPE
0 - 2
MON
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
MAR
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIA
0 - 1
TIR
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VPE
3 - 1
VIA
14%
19%
67%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIA
2 - 1
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 0
PED
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 4
VIA
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |