Monção vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
60.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
14º
12º
30
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
MON
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
PED
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 1
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
AMA
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
MON
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PED
3 - 1
MER
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
AMA
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 2
MER
19%
23%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
DUM
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PEV
2 - 2
MER
32%
23%
46%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |