Monagas vs Guatire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MON
1 - 3
UCV
75%
17%
9%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
REA
0 - 0
MON
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
DEP
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 0
MON
52%
24%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guatire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
UCV
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAR
44%
26%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
TUC
2 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |