Clausura Venezuela Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Monagas vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
ZAM
51%
23%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MET
0 - 2
MON
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 1
MON
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
TRU
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
2 - 0
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
EST
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EST
2 - 0
ZUL
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
3 - 3
EST
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |