Monagas vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MET
0 - 0
MON
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ZUL
0 - 0
MON
32%
26%
43%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
APC
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
UCV
0 - 2
MON
16%
23%
61%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 2
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 0
TAC
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
LAR
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 0
DEP
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
APC
3 - 2
LAR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |