Monagas vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
MON
35%
27%
39%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ZAM
1 - 1
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
MET
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
MIN
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
MON
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
MET
1 - 0
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
ZAM
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 0
UCV
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |