Monagas vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 1
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 3
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
MIR
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
TRU
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
ARA
3 - 1
YAR
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
ZUL
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
ANZ
2 - 2
ARA
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
ARA
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 2
ANZ
31%
30%
39%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |