Monagas II vs Fundación Cesarger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
DEP
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ANG
0 - 1
MON
47%
24%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CES
3 - 0
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Fundación Cesarger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CES
0 - 1
MIN
66%
19%
14%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
CES
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CES
3 - 0
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CES
0 - 0
ANG
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CES
0 - 0
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |