Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 5
MON
14%
21%
65%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PSG
1 - 1
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
ASN
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MON
4 - 0
LOR
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 4
MON
32%
26%
43%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NIC
3 - 1
GUI
50%
25%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
30%
28%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NIC
0 - 0
MET
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 1
NIC
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
GIR
0 - 0
NIC
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |