Monaco II vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MON
2 - 1
ROM
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
UZE
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
TRI
0 - 0
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MON
3 - 1
NIM
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
UZE
2 - 1
NIC
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 1
TRI
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NIM
1 - 1
NIC
34%
27%
38%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
NIC
0 - 1
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |