Mohun Bagan SG vs Neroca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
MBS
2 - 0
MIN
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MBS
1 - 2
RKF
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2018 |
NER
2 - 1
MBS
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MBS
2 - 0
SHI
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MIN
0 - 1
MBS
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
NER
3 - 2
SHI
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2018 |
NER
2 - 1
MBS
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
NER
0 - 0
MIN
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
NER
2 - 1
CHU
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
NER
3 - 0
PAI
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |