Mohammedan SC vs Neroca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
10º
7º
25
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohammedan SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 0
MOH
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GFC
1 - 0
MOH
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 1
MOH
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
MOH
3 - 0
KSC
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MOH
3 - 0
SPB
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
NER
1 - 0
SMF
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NER
0 - 1
RKF
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
MIN
3 - 3
NER
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
NER
1 - 3
CHU
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
GFC
4 - 0
NER
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |