Mogren vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
DEC
2 - 0
MOG
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 0
PET
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
BOK
1 - 1
MOG
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 1
RUD
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 2
MOG
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
GRB
2 - 4
JED
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
GRB
0 - 1
MLA
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
DEC
3 - 0
GRB
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -3 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
GRB
2 - 0
PET
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
BOK
1 - 0
GRB
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -2 |