Mogi Mirim vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MET
1 - 2
MOG
36%
26%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
0 - 1
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 0
MOG
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 0
MOG
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIA
3 - 0
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
CIA
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
CIA
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 0
MOG
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
0 - 1
CIA
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |