Moerse Boys vs Unitas 30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
51.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
15º
15º
36
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moerse Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 2
MOE
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 1
MOE
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOE
1 - 0
SIL
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RKZ
1 - 1
MOE
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOE
1 - 2
MEE
15%
19%
67%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Unitas 30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HVC
4 - 1
UNI
53%
20%
27%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
HOO
38%
21%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 2
ORI
32%
22%
46%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 1
UNI
68%
16%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 3
SIL
53%
21%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |