Modena vs Sassuolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 1
GRO
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CTT
4 - 0
MOD
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MOD
3 - 1
VIC
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 0
ANC
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 1
AVE
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CTT
1 - 1
SAS
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
EMP
3 - 2
SAS
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SAS
0 - 0
VIC
54%
26%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
SAS
39%
28%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |