Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Last 16
Global 1-2
Modena vs AlbinoLeffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
ABN
0 - 1
MOD
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
VIR
3 - 3
MOD
30%
30%
40%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 0
LEG
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAD
27%
26%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 1
MOD
21%
29%
51%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
ABN
0 - 1
MOD
37%
30%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
ABN
2 - 1
GRO
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ABN
1 - 0
PON
44%
28%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 2
ABN
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ABN
2 - 2
PON
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |