Modena vs Tuttocuoio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 2
COR
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACD
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 2
MOD
32%
26%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
LAT
1 - 1
MOD
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
57%
26%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tuttocuoio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 1
TUT
67%
21%
13%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
TUT
1 - 2
SAN
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
PIS
2 - 1
TUT
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TUT
2 - 1
ASL
28%
28%
44%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 1
TUT
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |