Modena vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ABN
3 - 1
MOD
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 2
CHI
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SPE
2 - 2
MOD
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MOD
2 - 0
PIA
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
GRO
0 - 2
MOD
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
RIM
2 - 0
GRO
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 2
RIM
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
RIM
3 - 0
ASC
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 1
RIM
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
RIM
1 - 2
BOL
41%
27%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |