Modena vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
MOD
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
MOD
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 1
SIE
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
MOD
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
PES
1 - 0
PAD
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 1
PES
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 3
PES
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
SPE
3 - 0
PES
41%
24%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PES
4 - 2
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |