Modena vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
CES
1 - 2
MOD
46%
26%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 2
ACD
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 4
MOD
22%
29%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
4 - 0
IMO
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
0 - 0
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
ASL
2 - 2
TER
27%
28%
45%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ANC
3 - 1
ASL
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ASL
2 - 1
OLB
24%
25%
50%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 0
ASL
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 2
CES
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |