Modena vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ASG
2 - 0
MOD
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 0
ABN
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 0
MOD
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
PES
3 - 1
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NOC
0 - 1
CTT
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 2
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 4
CTT
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 0
SAS
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 0
CTT
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |