Modena vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
ASC
3 - 0
MOD
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
MOD
1 - 0
PIS
38%
30%
33%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1994 |
BRE
1 - 2
MOD
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1994 |
MOD
0 - 1
FIA
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1994 |
ACI
0 - 0
MOD
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
VIC
2 - 1
ANC
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1994 |
ANC
2 - 0
VNZ
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
ANC
2 - 2
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1994 |
ACI
1 - 1
ANC
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1994 |
ANC
3 - 1
ASL
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |