Modena vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 1
MOD
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 0
PIA
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 2
MOD
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 1
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
CES
2 - 4
MOD
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 0
PES
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
TRI
0 - 1
MAN
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 0
VER
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ABN
2 - 1
MAN
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
TER
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |