Mjølner vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
9º
8º
69
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mjølner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KFU
5 - 0
MJO
27%
20%
53%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MJO
4 - 1
SAR
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
MJO
65%
19%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MJO
3 - 1
HIS
92%
6%
2%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 2
MJO
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
4 - 1
SIK
84%
12%
5%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SKA
2 - 3
FOL
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
3 - 0
SKE
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
KFU
1 - 2
FOL
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 2
FOL
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |