Mitchelton vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 2
MIT
47%
22%
32%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 0
ALB
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NPI
0 - 5
MIT
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MIT
0 - 2
PEN
36%
22%
42%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 4
MIT
17%
19%
64%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
LOG
2 - 1
ALB
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
LOG
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LOG
3 - 4
CAP
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
QUE
4 - 1
LOG
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LOG
1 - 4
HPH
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |