Misto vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
3 - 0
MIS
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
MIS
2 - 1
CEN
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
MIS
48%
25%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MIS
0 - 5
COS
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 1
MIS
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 2
CHA
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
COM
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
COS
5 - 4
CHA
60%
21%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
CHA
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 1
MIS
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |