Misto vs 7 de Setembro SM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2009 |
MIS
3 - 3
IVI
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 2
MIS
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
MIS
0 - 3
NAV
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
AQU
0 - 0
MIS
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
IVI
1 - 0
MIS
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2009 |
7DE
1 - 0
COS
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CEN
3 - 1
7DE
64%
20%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
7DE
6 - 1
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 0
7DE
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
COS
2 - 1
7DE
66%
19%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |