Mirassol FC vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SER
2 - 1
MIR
35%
26%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 2
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 2
MIR
43%
25%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
MIR
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 1
OES
48%
24%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MON
0 - 4
POR
22%
23%
55%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
PPE
1 - 1
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
RIO
74%
16%
9%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |